Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.