Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
