We said: Georgia 1-0 Albania
This is a tough match to call, with Albania certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but Georgia will be bidding to bounce back from a disappointing result last time out, and we are backing the hosts to navigate their way to all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Albania had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.