Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 0-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.