Boro U21s

3 - 1

Derby U21s

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.