Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-23s win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 37.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.84%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.