Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 53.85%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 1-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.