Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
66.75% ( 0.96) | 19.95% ( -0.46) | 13.3% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 47.16% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.86) | 46.42% ( -0.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.8) | 68.7% ( -0.8) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( 0.55) | 12.99% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( 1.1) | 39.5% ( -1.1) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.2% ( -0.23) | 45.8% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.18) | 81.56% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 66.75% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 46 |
2 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 36 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 34 |
7 | Bournemouth | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 33 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Brentford | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 27 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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