Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.