Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.