Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 37.16%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 30.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (6.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.48%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (13.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.