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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Como

Zappacosta (18'), Lookman (90+9' pen.)
de Roon (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Espeto (46'), Kolasinac (54' og.), Fadera (58')
Roberto (11'), Moreno (36'), Van Der Brempt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Como 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Como

Even if Atalanta decide to rotate their squad after a busy start to the season, they have too much quality and top-flight know-how for a Como side that has shown few signs of adapting to the demands of Serie A. In a third consecutive home game following the renovation of their stadium, La Dea should serenely secure maximum points and build on a fine performance against Arsenal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawComo
50.11% (-2.669 -2.67) 24.9% (0.477 0.48) 24.98% (2.196 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.94 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-1.046 -1.05)20.09% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-1.707 -1.71)52.34% (1.711 1.71)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (2.006 2.01)34.78% (-2.002 -2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (2.059 2.06)71.51% (-2.057 -2.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 50.11%
    Como 24.98%
    Draw 24.9%
Atalanta BCDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.511 -0.51)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.201 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.375 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Como

Atalanta BC
92.6%
Draw
6.2%
Como
1.2%
337
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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