Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Napoli |
18.06% | 21.99% | 59.95% |
Both teams to score 51.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% | 46.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% | 68.52% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% | 39.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% | 76.02% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85% | 15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.54% | 43.46% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.06% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 0-2 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-4 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.92% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |