Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.61%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Crotone | Draw | Napoli |
18.06% | 21.99% | 59.95% |
Both teams to score 51.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% | 46.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% | 68.52% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% | 39.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% | 76.02% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85% | 15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.54% | 43.46% |
Score Analysis |
Crotone | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.06% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 0-2 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 6.27% 0-4 @ 3.18% 1-4 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.92% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-5 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Inter Milan | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 56 | 19 | 37 | 51 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Juventus | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 40 |
5 | Fiorentina | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 39 |
6 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
7 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
8 | AC Milan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Roma | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |