Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Como had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.