MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 12:48:50| >> :60:186:186:
Portimonense
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2022 at 11am UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
2 - 0
Sporting Covilha

Matos (8'), Oliveira (77')
Diaby-Fadiga (14'), Jocu (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (43')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Portimonense and Sporting Covilha.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, November 19 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 2-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 20 at 6pm in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSporting Covilha
60.37% (-0.177 -0.18) 21.71% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 17.92% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (-0.141 -0.14)45.26% (0.139 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (-0.134 -0.13)67.6% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)14.55% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.196 -0.2)42.6% (0.193 0.19)
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (0.036000000000001 0.04)38.91% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)75.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 60.36%
    Sporting Covilha 17.92%
    Draw 21.71%
PortimonenseDrawSporting Covilha
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.36%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.71%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.92%

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