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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 0
Barry

Owen (72' pen.)
Owen (27'), Georgievsky (70'), Morris (89'), Davies (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cotterill (47'), Sainty (49'), McDonald (73')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Barry Town United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawBarry Town United
39.09%25.43%35.47%
Both teams to score 56.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25%47.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06%69.94%
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9%24.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6%58.39%
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.91%26.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85%61.15%
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 39.09%
    Barry Town United 35.47%
    Draw 25.43%
Pen-y-BontDrawBarry Town United
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 8.55%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 5.68%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Barry
0-1
Pen-y-Bont

Cotterill (31')
Green (64')
Snaith (79')
Griffiths (26')
Nov 22, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
3-0
Pen-y-Bont
Green (31'), Cummings (46'), McLaggon (89')
Fahiya (10'), Green (42')

Hutson (13'), Owen (88')
Aug 16, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 1
Pen-y-Bont
1-2
Barry
Owen (49' pen.)
Owen (67'), Summerfield (95')
McLaggon (55'), Hood (64')
Press (16'), Cotterill (53'), McLaggon (67')
Cotterill (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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