Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pen-y-Bont in this match.