Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.