Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Vissel Kobe win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.