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Estudiantes
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 25, 2023 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Sarmiento

Estudiantes
1 - 1
Sarmiento

Ascacibar (53')
Zuqui (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, February 18 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 San Lorenzo
Monday, February 20 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawSarmiento
57.85% (-0.151 -0.15) 25.05% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 17.1% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 41.24% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.85% (-0.137 -0.14)59.14% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.42% (-0.106 -0.11)79.58% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53% (-0.113 -0.11)20.46% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (-0.18 -0.18)52.93% (0.18 0.18)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)48.14% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.66% (0.015000000000001 0.02)83.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 57.84%
    Sarmiento 17.1%
    Draw 25.04%
EstudiantesDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 15.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.56% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 57.84%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.85% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.1%

Head to Head
Jun 15, 2022 1.30am
Estudiantes
2-1
Sarmiento
Boselli (37'), Toledo (76' pen.)
Diaz (60'), Godoy (66'), Rodriguez (85')
Diaz (90+1')
Torres (57')
Torres (40'), Guanini (61'), Sauro (63'), Castro (72'), Toledo (76'), Brea (84')
Jul 17, 2021 1.15am
Sarmiento
0-3
Estudiantes
Apaolaza (52', 58'), Castro (54')
Apaolaza (25'), Noguera (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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