Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.