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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
82.17% ( 1.16) | 11.46% ( -0.67) | 6.37% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 50.68% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.72% ( 1.52) | 27.28% ( -1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.16% ( 1.89) | 47.84% ( -1.89) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.09% ( 0.48) | 4.91% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.3% ( 1.43) | 19.7% ( -1.43) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.29% ( -0.13) | 46.71% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.73% ( -0.1) | 82.26% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
3-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 6% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 6-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.17) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 7-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.13) Other @ 4.3% Total : 82.17% | 1-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.89% Total : 11.46% | 1-2 @ 2% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.62% Total : 6.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |