Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 2Holstein Kiel
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 5-1 Augsburg
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Freiburg 2-1 Holstein Kiel
While Holstein Kiel managed to claim a big home win ahead of the December break, they have been very poor on the road this season, having conceded two or more goals in every away match and still winless after seven games. Freiburg have not been at their best this term either, but they are one of the best in the division when playing on their home patch, and we feel they should come away from this one with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
47.79% ( -1.41) | 23.17% ( 0.38) | 29.04% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
