MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 21:57:04| >> :600:4492964:4492964:
Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin

Melgar
1 - 1
Aurora

Bordacahar (7')
Gonzalez (72'), Cuesta (90+3'), Galeano (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Blanco (2')
Torrico (24'), Robles (36'), Blanco (72'), Serginho (90+3')
Robles (67'), Blanco (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Melgar and Aurora.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aurora 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, February 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aurora 1-0 Melgar
Thursday, February 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Aurora had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aurora win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
MelgarDrawAurora
70.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 17.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 11.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.69% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)43.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29% (-0.073 -0.07)65.71% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)10.94% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)35.14% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Aurora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)47.57% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)82.91% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 70.92%
    Aurora 11.08%
    Draw 17.99%
MelgarDrawAurora
2-0 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 70.92%
1-1 @ 8.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.99%
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.08%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 12.30am
First Round 1st Leg
Aurora
1-0
Melgar
Alaniz (45+1')
Sanchez (35'), Robles (75')

Arias (15'), Cabrera (70')
Cabrera (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Washington
45-31
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
6Chelsea21107441261537
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!