MX23RW : Monday, December 23 06:14:25| >> :120:10344:10344:
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 30, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Cruzeiro

Lanus
0 - 1
Cruzeiro


Izquierdoz (35'), Jose Caceres (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jorge (45+1')
Ramos (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Lanus and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Lanus
Monday, October 28 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Cruzeiro
Saturday, October 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Lanus 1-0 Cruzeiro (Lanus advance 2-1 on aggregate)

Neither side are in great form domestically, but we believe the Lanus resilience and strong play at home in this competition will be enough to propel them to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawCruzeiro
41.26% (1.984 1.98) 29.79% (0.186 0.19) 28.95% (-2.174 -2.17)
Both teams to score 41.42% (-1.223 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.65% (-1.114 -1.11)65.35% (1.112 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.86% (-0.782 -0.78)84.13% (0.78 0.78)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.611 0.61)31.26% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.702 0.7)67.61% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26% (-2.339 -2.34)39.74% (2.337 2.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59% (-2.226 -2.23)76.41% (2.225 2.22)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 41.26%
    Cruzeiro 28.94%
    Draw 29.78%
LanusDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 14.44% (0.81 0.81)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.605 0.61)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.285 0.29)
3-1 @ 3% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 13.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 12.42% (0.5 0.5)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.192 -0.19)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.78%
0-1 @ 11.46% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.475 -0.48)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 28.94%

How you voted: Lanus vs Cruzeiro

Lanus
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Cruzeiro
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2024 11pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Cruzeiro
1-1
Lanus
Jorge (50')
Ramiro (69')
Carrera (73')
Carrera (45'), Pena Biafore (55'), Acosta (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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