MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 01:16:02| >> :60:703:703:
Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 23, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
1 - 1
Lanus

Jorge (50')
Ramiro (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carrera (73')
Carrera (45'), Pena Biafore (55'), Acosta (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cruzeiro and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Bahia
Saturday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Independiente
Friday, October 18 at 11.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Cruzeiro 1-0 Lanus

While Lanus have a dangerous attacking player in Walter Bou, his teammates have not provided him great service over the past few weeks, and we trust Cruzeiro's overall depth to claim a narrow victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawLanus
52.86% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06) 26.95% (0.119 0.12) 20.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 41.18% (-0.359 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.15% (-0.428 -0.43)61.85% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.38% (-0.316 -0.32)81.63% (0.318 0.32)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)23.69% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.309 -0.31)57.81% (0.311 0.31)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.96% (-0.316 -0.32)46.04% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.25% (-0.245 -0.24)81.75% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 52.84%
    Lanus 20.2%
    Draw 26.94%
CruzeiroDrawLanus
1-0 @ 15.7% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.9% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.2%

How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Lanus

Cruzeiro
Draw
Lanus
Cruzeiro
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Lanus
0.0%
16
rhs 2.0
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