Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.