Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
