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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
80.2% | 12.63% | 7.18% |
Both teams to score 50.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.85% | 30.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.62% | 51.39% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.2% | 5.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.69% | 22.31% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.21% | 46.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.68% | 82.32% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-0 @ 11% 3-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 7.44% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 4.24% 5-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 2.15% 6-0 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.24% Total : 80.18% | 1-1 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 3.17% 0-0 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.88% Total : 12.63% | 1-2 @ 2.23% 0-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 7.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |