Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica B win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica B win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Mafra win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
