Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
