League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24
Apr 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry3 - 1St Patrick's
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 1-3 Shamrock
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Waterford
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
52.46% ( -0.08) | 24.76% ( -0.02) | 22.79% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.19% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
