Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.