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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
45.66% ( 0.09) | 26.87% ( -0.02) | 27.47% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.73% ( 0.02) | 56.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.69% ( 0.02) | 77.3% ( -0.02) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( 0.05) | 24.58% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.93% ( 0.07) | 59.07% ( -0.08) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( -0.05) | 35.92% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( -0.05) | 72.7% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 27.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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