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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Telford (87' pen.)
Oteh (19'), Lynch (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clifton (42')
Khan (33'), Crocombe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

Both teams are undefeated in their last four League Two games, and so it is too difficult to pick a winner, with the most likely result being a draw. Crawley are a much-improved since they last took on Grimsby, losing 3-0 at Blundell Park back at the beginning of October, and a victory could do them the world of good in their bid to avoid relegation, potentially able to move seven points clear of the bottom two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
45.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09) 26.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73% (0.023999999999994 0.02)56.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69% (0.02 0.02)77.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.58% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)72.7% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.65%
    Grimsby Town 27.47%
    Draw 26.86%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
45.7%
Draw
17.1%
Grimsby Town
37.1%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Grimsby Town
Palmer (16', 69'), Nadesan (77')
Nadesan (58'), Doherty (85')
Whitehouse (21'), Hanson (32')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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