Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.