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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 29.57% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.7%).
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
43.64% ( 0.05) | 26.8% ( 0) | 29.57% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45% ( -0.03) | 55% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% ( -0.03) | 76.27% ( 0.03) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( 0.01) | 25.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( 0.02) | 59.69% ( -0.02) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0.05) | 33.61% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -0.06) | 70.26% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 30 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |