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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
53.59% ( 0.08) | 24.03% ( 0.05) | 22.38% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( -0.35) | 49.16% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% ( -0.32) | 71.23% ( 0.32) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.72% ( -0.1) | 18.27% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.67% ( -0.17) | 49.33% ( 0.17) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.51% ( -0.32) | 36.48% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% ( -0.33) | 73.27% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.59% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
3 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
5 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 24 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |