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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Swindon Town

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Swindon

Tilley (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (10')
Wright (88'), Delaney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Swindon Town

Given that this is a contest between the league's second-strongest home side and the joint-weakest away side, we believe Wimbledon are well-positioned for a straightforward victory. Adding to their determination is the need to bounce back swiftly from their recent defeat, providing them with extra motivation to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
53.59% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 24.03% (0.052 0.05) 22.38% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.91% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)49.16% (0.351 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.321 -0.32)71.23% (0.318 0.32)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.104 -0.1)18.27% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.174 -0.17)49.33% (0.172 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-0.322 -0.32)36.48% (0.319 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-0.327 -0.33)73.27% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.59%
    Swindon Town 22.38%
    Draw 24.02%
AFC WimbledonDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.095 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Swindon

AFC Wimbledon
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Swindon Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Swindon
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Drinan (51'), Devoy (71', 84')
Godwin-Malife (60'), Devoy (90+7')
Godwin-Malife (90+1')
Lewis (2', 87')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
AFC Wimbledon
4-0
Swindon
Bugiel (6'), Little (59'), Al-Hamadi (79', 90+2')
Neufville (13'), Al-Hamadi (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Swindon
Pierre (8')
Jephcott (16' pen., 32'), Wakeling (18'), Clayton (61'), Darcy (90+2' pen.)
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Swindon
Pigott (20' pen., 54'), Nightingale (26'), Assal (44')
McLoughlin (90+3')
Smith (79')
Grounds (20'), Lyden (26'), Pitman (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Salford City24126629191042
3Port Vale2511862925441
4AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
5Notts County24117638261240
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2310493631534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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