Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.