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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Excelsior

Almere City
2 - 1
Excelsior

Resink (43'), Widell (68' og.)
Pena (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parrott (26')
Widell (20'), Baas (47'), Sandra (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 SBV Excelsior

Both sides have cause for optimism based on their results in recent weeks, and we anticipate a tight encounter on Friday with a share of the spoils being the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawSBV Excelsior
49.08% (0.202 0.2) 22.9% (-0.055 -0.05) 28.01% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (0.151 0.15)39.08% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (0.158 0.16)61.41% (-0.161 -0.16)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.127 0.13)16.18% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (0.235 0.23)45.66% (-0.238 -0.24)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)26.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)61.73% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 49.08%
    SBV Excelsior 28.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Almere CityDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 49.08%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.7% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.01%

How you voted: Almere City vs Excelsior

Almere City
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
SBV Excelsior
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Excelsior
0-0
Almere City
El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')
Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Almere City
3-0
Excelsior
Puriel (51'), Alhaft (54'), Duijvestijn (69')
Pouwels (74')

El Yaakoubi (43'), Wieffer (54')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Excelsior
4-4
Almere City
Niemeijer (11', 82'), Dallinga (16'), Resink (54' og.)
Horemans (80'), Wieffer (89')
Duijvestijn (25'), Arweiler (69', 74', 78')
Receveur (24'), Duijvestijn (39')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Almere City
4-1
Excelsior
Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')
Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')
Sep 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
4-6
Almere City
Niemeijer (5'), Mar Omarsson (16', 18', 87')
Matthys (17')
Verheydt (3', 37'), Hammouti (24'), Margaritha (25'), Emmers (86'), Receveur (88')
Verheydt (17'), Mirani (77'), Lesquoy (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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