Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
48.26% ( 1) | 24.99% ( -0.18) | 26.75% ( -0.82) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% ( 0.23) | 49.33% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% ( 0.21) | 71.38% ( -0.2) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.52) | 20.47% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( 0.82) | 52.94% ( -0.82) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( -0.52) | 32.79% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( -0.58) | 69.34% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |