Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 75.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.