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La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Sociedad logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Sancet (26')
Prados (41'), Ruiz de Galarreta (76'), Berchiche (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubeldia (21'), Lopez (53'), Aguerd (90+1'), Sucic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jove Espanol 0-5 Real Sociedad
Thursday, November 21 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad

There has not actually been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2021, with the last five meetings in Spain's top flight producing a winner; we are finding it difficult to back either with any real confidence here, though, and the points may ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
31.43% (-5.21 -5.21) 29.23% (-0.896 -0.9) 39.34% (6.105 6.11)
Both teams to score 43.69% (1.984 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37% (2.563 2.56)63% (-2.562 -2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.53% (1.816 1.82)82.47% (-1.815 -1.82)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (-2.251 -2.25)36.49% (2.252 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-2.344 -2.34)73.28% (2.346 2.35)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (5.37 5.37)31.21% (-5.369 -5.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (5.818 5.82)67.55% (-5.818 -5.82)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 31.42%
    Real Sociedad 39.34%
    Draw 29.22%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.47% (-1.95 -1.95)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.497 -0.5)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-1.407 -1.41)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.625 -0.63)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 31.42%
1-1 @ 13.36% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 11.38% (-1.14 -1.14)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.22%
0-1 @ 13.26% (0.67 0.67)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.996 1)
0-2 @ 7.72% (1.387 1.39)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.746 0.75)
0-3 @ 3% (0.873 0.87)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.303 0.3)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

Athletic Bilbao
51.9%
Draw
36.1%
Real Sociedad
12.0%
108
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Real Sociedad
Berenguer (30', 42')
Gomez (90+3')
Oyarzabal (88')
Barrenetxea (61'), Merino (90'), Elustondo (90+3'), Le Normand (90+2')
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Real Sociedad
3-0
Athletic Bilbao
Le Normand (30'), Kubo (48'), Oyarzabal (66')
Merino (44'), Zubeldia (77')

Herrera (29'), Vivian (44')
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Jan 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Sociedad
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Sorloth (25'), Kubo (37'), Oyarzabal (62' pen.)
Sancet (40')
Feb 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Real Sociedad
Vivian (68'), Sancet (72'), Williams (80'), Muniain (89')
Garcia (5'), Martinez (37'), Garcia (55'), Berenguer (90+4')

Silva (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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