Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.43% ( -5.21) | 29.23% ( -0.9) | 39.34% ( 6.11) |
Both teams to score 43.69% ( 1.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37% ( 2.56) | 63% ( -2.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.53% ( 1.82) | 82.47% ( -1.82) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.51% ( -2.25) | 36.49% ( 2.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.72% ( -2.34) | 73.28% ( 2.35) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.79% ( 5.37) | 31.21% ( -5.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.45% ( 5.82) | 67.55% ( -5.82) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 11.47% ( -1.95) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.5) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -1.41) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 11.38% ( -1.14) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.29) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 1) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 1.39) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.75) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.87) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 44 |
2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 19 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 19 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
11 | Osasuna | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Sevilla | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 22 |
15 | Getafe | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
16 | Leganes | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 19 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 17 |
18 | Espanyol | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 16 |
19 | Valencia | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 19 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |