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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Betis

Berenguer (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornals (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gevora 1-6 Betis
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Betis

This is a tough match to call, with both sides in strong form; Athletic will be the fresher of the two teams, though, and home advantage should also be key on Sunday, so we are expecting the Lions to shade a close contest at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
45.51% (0.332 0.33) 25.98% (0.07 0.07) 28.51% (-0.403 -0.4)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.69% (-0.492 -0.49)52.31% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.423 -0.42)74% (0.422 0.42)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)22.93% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)56.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-0.563 -0.56)32.99% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.627 -0.63)69.58% (0.62599999999999 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 45.51%
    Real Betis 28.51%
    Draw 25.97%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.51%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
74.3%
Draw
16.8%
Real Betis
8.8%
113
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Betis
3-1
Athletic Bilbao
Avila (13'), Berchiche (38' og.), Cardoso (67')
Avila (30')
Guruzeta (45+7')
Berchiche (33'), Williams (40'), Berenguer (41'), Vivian (47'), Imanol (59')
Williams (40')
Aug 27, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Athletic Bilbao
4-2
Betis
Vesga (30' pen., 45' pen.), Guruzeta (45+7'), Gomez Etxebarria (84')
Paredes (59'), Ruiz de Galarreta (61'), Vesga (79'), Berenguer (90+1')
Jose (2'), Isco (10')
Rodriguez (44'), Vinicius (48')
May 4, 2023 9pm
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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