Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Austin2 - 1Dallas
We said: Austin FC 1-1 Dallas
With both teams left disappointed by their slow starts to the campaign and desperate for a win over Texan rivals, we anticipate a tight encounter in Austin on Sunday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead seeing a share of the points as the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
44.23% ( -0.12) | 25.47% ( -0.04) | 30.3% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
