La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Barcelona3 - 2Almeria
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Almeria.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up for Wednesday's La Liga clash with Barcelona at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.
We said: Barcelona 3-0 Almeria
With Barcelona experiencing a poor run of form, Wednesday's contest against a winless Almeria side could be just what they need to restore confidence. Having won all of their seven La Liga matches against the Andalusian side, we think that the hosts will showcase their quality to end the year with a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 3-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Almeria |
70.63% ( 0.18) | 16.54% ( 0.17) | 12.83% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( -1.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
