We said: Brentford 2-2 Wolfsburg
With both sides keen to end their respective pre-season programmes on a high, we expect a competitive, high-energy contest between these two well-matched teams.
Brentford's backline has been far from watertight so far this summer, but they have looked threatening in front of goal and they should do enough to claim at least share of the spoils in an entertaining draw with Wolfsburg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.