Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.