Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
30.44% ( -1.05) | 23.28% ( 0.07) | 46.28% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 61.94% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.66% ( -0.87) | 39.33% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.32% ( -0.92) | 61.67% ( 0.91) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( -1.07) | 25.07% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( -1.5) | 59.76% ( 1.5) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.67% ( 0.05) | 17.33% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.3% ( 0.08) | 47.7% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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