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Adelaide United
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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 at 6am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Brisbane Roar
3 - 2
Victory

Rojas (23', 56'), Waddingham (70')
Hore (39'), Burke-Gilroy (62'), Jelacic (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machach (35'), Bonevacia (86')
Geria (15')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne Victory
30.44% (-1.054 -1.05) 23.28% (0.07 0.07) 46.28% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 61.94% (-0.849 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.87 -0.87)39.33% (0.868 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.916 -0.92)61.67% (0.915 0.91)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-1.068 -1.07)25.07% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-1.5 -1.5)59.76% (1.498 1.5)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)17.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)47.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 30.44%
    Melbourne Victory 46.28%
    Draw 23.27%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.01% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.44%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.174 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.118 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.316 0.32)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.286 0.29)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.36% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.28%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
Oct 29, 2022 5am
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
Gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Victory
Parsons (54')
Parsons (44'), Akbari (47'), O'Shea (90')
Hamill (68')
Ikonomidis (32'), Brillante (84')
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Gameweek 7
Victory
0-0
Brisbane Roar
Marchan (44'), Broxham (83')
Olsen (32'), Holmes (87')
rhs 2.0
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