MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:21:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Farense logo

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Farense

Cassiano (32' pen.)
Brito (4'), Kraev (61'), Larrazabal (84'), Kluivert (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balde (7')
Merghem (41'), Victor (72'), Moreno Ojeda (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-0 SC Farense

It has been a turbulent start to the campaign for Farense, who find themselves rock-bottom in the table, having managed just four points from their opening 10 matches. Having also stumbled into the season, Casa Pia have turned a corner in recent weeks and we are backing them to extend their fine run of results with another solid display in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawSC Farense
46.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 26.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 26.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 48.62% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (0.142 0.14)55.57% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (0.115 0.12)76.74% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.052000000000007 0.05)23.68% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.073999999999998 0.07)57.8% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.12 0.12)36.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.121 0.12)73.08% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 46.91%
    SC Farense 26.56%
    Draw 26.53%
Casa PiaDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 12.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.91%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 26.56%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Farense

Casa Pia
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
SC Farense
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 18
Casa Pia
1-3
Farense
Fernando (87')
Matias (24'), Muscat (40'), Duarte (75')
Muscat (90+5'), Mota (90')
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 1
Farense
0-3
Casa Pia

Elbachir Belloumi (65'), Barbosa (90+2')
Clayton (15'), Roberto dos Santos (64'), Godwin (90' pen.)
Neto (45+3'), Batista (49'), Mukendi (74'), Zolotic (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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