We said: Casa Pia 2-0 SC Farense
It has been a turbulent start to the campaign for Farense, who find themselves rock-bottom in the table, having managed just four points from their opening 10 matches.
Having also stumbled into the season, Casa Pia have turned a corner in recent weeks and we are backing them to extend their fine run of results with another solid display in front of their home supporters.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.