Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.49%) and 3-1 (6.42%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.