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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Carlisle United

Charlton
3 - 2
Carlisle

May (37', 75'), Kanu (54')
Anderson (7'), Edmonds-Green (46')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Armstrong (20'), Charters (63' pen.)
McGeouch (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Reading
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 3-1 Carlisle United

 Charlton will be full of confidence after winning two of their last three matches, and we think that they will do enough to sweep past Carlisle and claim their first home win since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCarlisle United
49.63% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 24.71% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 25.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (-0.242 -0.24)48.99% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (-0.221 -0.22)71.07% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)19.76% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.191 -0.19)51.81% (0.193 0.19)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-0.131 -0.13)33.49% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.145 -0.15)70.12% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 49.62%
    Carlisle United 25.66%
    Draw 24.71%
Charlton AthleticDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.62%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Charlton vs Carlisle

Charlton Athletic
79.2%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
1-1
Charlton
Lavelle (62')
Taylor (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Charlton
Wright-Phillips (76')
Cort (70'), Wright-Phillips (76')
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Charlton
4-0
Carlisle
Hollands (48'), Wright-Phillips (21'), Kermorgant (13', 37')
Kermorgant (89')

Robson (19')
Robson (45')
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Charlton
1-3
Carlisle
Wright-Phillips (10')
Marshall (27'), Loy (80'), Curran (62')
Simek (31'), Livesey (45'), Murphy (82'), Robson (87')
Oct 23, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
3-4
Charlton
Madine (77'), Curran (61'), Grella (58')
Jackson (23'), Anyinsah (38'), Benson (47', 90')
Doherty (54'), Fry (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham20153237162148
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe21145246222447
3Wrexham22136333151845
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield21133535181742
5Stockport CountyStockport22106634231136
6Reading2110473431334
7Barnsley229673131033
8Mansfield TownMansfield209472622431
9Lincoln CityLincoln228772826231
10Bolton WanderersBolton209472931-231
11Charlton AthleticCharlton218672520530
12Exeter CityExeter219392223-130
13Leyton Orient218492620628
14Wigan AthleticWigan217682018227
15Blackpool217683033-327
16Stevenage207581520-526
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2173113840-224
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham206591922-323
19Bristol Rovers2164111932-1322
20Northampton TownNorthampton2256112238-1621
21Crawley TownCrawley2154122036-1619
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2145122137-1617
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2143142241-1915
24Burton Albion2126131734-1712
> League One Full Table


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