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League One
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Carlisle United

Charlton
3 - 2
Carlisle

May (37', 75'), Kanu (54')
Anderson (7'), Edmonds-Green (46')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Armstrong (20'), Charters (63' pen.)
McGeouch (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Reading
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 3-1 Carlisle United

 Charlton will be full of confidence after winning two of their last three matches, and we think that they will do enough to sweep past Carlisle and claim their first home win since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCarlisle United
49.63% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 24.71% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 25.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01% (-0.242 -0.24)48.99% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92% (-0.221 -0.22)71.07% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)19.76% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (-0.191 -0.19)51.81% (0.193 0.19)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (-0.131 -0.13)33.49% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.145 -0.15)70.12% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 49.62%
    Carlisle United 25.66%
    Draw 24.71%
Charlton AthleticDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.62%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.62% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Charlton vs Carlisle

Charlton Athletic
79.2%
Draw
12.5%
Carlisle United
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
1-1
Charlton
Lavelle (62')
Taylor (54')
> Preview
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Charlton
Wright-Phillips (76')
Cort (70'), Wright-Phillips (76')
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Charlton
4-0
Carlisle
Hollands (48'), Wright-Phillips (21'), Kermorgant (13', 37')
Kermorgant (89')

Robson (19')
Robson (45')
Mar 1, 2011 3pm
Charlton
1-3
Carlisle
Wright-Phillips (10')
Marshall (27'), Loy (80'), Curran (62')
Simek (31'), Livesey (45'), Murphy (82'), Robson (87')
Oct 23, 2010 3pm
Carlisle
3-4
Charlton
Madine (77'), Curran (61'), Grella (58')
Jackson (23'), Anyinsah (38'), Benson (47', 90')
Doherty (54'), Fry (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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