Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Fylde |
26.14% ( -0.98) | 23.72% ( -0.16) | 50.14% ( 1.14) |
Both teams to score 57.06% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.68% ( -0.06) | 44.32% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.31% ( -0.06) | 66.7% ( 0.06) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( -0.78) | 30.62% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.14% ( -0.93) | 66.86% ( 0.94) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( 0.42) | 17.76% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.55% ( 0.72) | 48.45% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Fylde |
2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.14% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.28% 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 50.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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