Elgin

0 - 4

Spartans

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.